The first of our bonus strategies is the 40-40 Method. This is quite similar to the Fifty-Fifty Method and should be used as an alternative. Many might actually prefer this method since the risk reward ratio is actually very similar and you can normally be done much quicker then with the Fifty-Fifty.
From all the testing we did on the Fifty-Fifty method we noticed that many matches would see a player push through the 1.50 mark and hit 1.40 before hovering between 1.40 and 1.50.
Then we would notice you would very often see that player trade back up to around 1.80-1.90 before going back down and potentially even giving us a losing trade on the Fifty-Fifty.
So with the 40-40 Method we will be aiming to lay the first player to hit 1.40 and then to green up after gaining 40 ticks. So this will mean we will lay the player @ 1.40 and green up @ 1.80.
The exit point remains similar, if the leading player scores another break or trades below 1.18 then you will exit the trade and take the loss across the markets.
- Men’s & Women’s Matches
- Minimum Liquidity of £30k+
- Pre-match favourite priced @ 1.71 and above
Once you have found a match which fits the odds range and criteria you enter lay orders for both players @ 1.40.
Keep an eye on the price and once the first player trades at 1.40 it is time to keep a close eye on where their price goes next. This will normally happen once the first player has scored a break point.
Once you get matched on one player remember to cancel your order on the other player!
You can put in an order @ 1.80 or just keep a close eye on the match to see where the price ends up. It is not always advised to put in an order @ 1.80 since once the losing player scores a break point back you might see the price bounce back up higher then 1.80 which will give you some bonus ticks.
If the leading player scores another break point or trades lower then 1.18 then exit the trade immediately.
The only time we will take a loss on this trade is if the price carries on going down. This would only happen if the player is literally destroying their opponent. This will be quite rare as it’s not often that two closely matched players will end up having a one sided contest.
In many cases you could be done and dusted with this trade within a few games.
Some of our members and traders are finding that you can feasibly repeat this trade more then once during a match and on both players too. Some matches swing from side to side and in the Women’s matches you will often see them score a break point and then be broken in the next match which will see their odds swing all over the place!
Just be sure that once you hit the exit point in the trade you dont enter the markets again as its not good to chase losses.
Real Life Examples:
Here is an ATP match between Beck & Goffin which is a comfortable qualifier in both the odds range and the amount matched (£77k). So once the match is underway, we enter our lay bets of 1.40 on both players.
In only the first game of the match, Beck scores a break point and we get matched @ 1.40. Notice from the screen shot how the price immediately bounced back up above 1.40 which shows that currently 1.40 is a good support point to look for in the market.
Its the end of the first set and Beck has held on to his break of serve to win the first set. As you can see his price has only steamed in by 8 ticks. If you don’t fancy that Goffin will play well in the second set you could just exit this trade now for a small loss.
The second set begins and Goffin scores an early break which results in Beck’s price shooting back up to around 1.80. We green up once we get matched at 1.80 and we have just gained 40 ticks!
This chart shows how Beck’s price moved during that trade. You can see circled, the entry point and the exit points of the trade.