Total Tennis Trading

Here is the analysis for the Indian Wells tournament. We are trying to establish if this is a tournament which favours the favourites or the underdogs and at which point of the tournament too.

The Indian Wells tournament is often quite competitive due to the increase in the prize money. The stats indicate that the underdogs perform best in rounds 1 and 2 of this tournament and this might be the most profitable time to take on the favourites.

From Round 4 onwards, the bias swings back towards the favourite and so you should take every match as it comes from that point.

There is quite a bias towards matches finishing in straight sets so be wary about taking on the leading player during the second set.

The stats are below but remember you can download the full spreadsheets for starting prices from Tennis Data.

 Matches that finish in straight sets per round:

R1 R2 R3 R4 Q/F S/F Final Total
2011 19/31 20/31 9/15 3/8 2/4 2/2 1/1 55/92
2010 20/31 20/31 9/15 5/8 3/4 2/2 1/1 60/92
2009 27/31 20/31 13/15 5/8 2/4 2/2 1/1 70/92

Underdogs that win per round:

R1 R2 R3 R4 Q/F S/F Final Total
2011 9/31 8/31 5/15 2/8 1/4 1/2 1/1 26/92
2010 7/31 8/31 7/15 3/8 0/4 0/2 1/1 19/92
2009 11/31 14/31 3/15 1/8 2/4 0/2 0/1 22/92

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